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Canada’s Trade Surplus Widens as Exports Rise Amid New U.S. Tariffs

Canada’s Trade Surplus Widens as Exports Rise Amid New U.S. Tariffs
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Exporters rushed shipments south ahead of new 50% U.S. tariffs, pushing Canada’s August trade surplus to $4.2 billion. September data will show what happens once the duties are in full effect.

Canada’s trade surplus widened significantly in August 2026, as exports increased while imports declined and shipments to the United States rose amid new U.S. tariffs.

According to ⁠Statistics Canada, Canada recorded a merchandise trade surplus of $4.2 billion in August, up from $787 million in July. This marked the sixth consecutive month of trade surplus.

Total exports increased 2.5% to $77.9 billion, while imports fell 2.0% to $73.7 billion.

Exports to the U.S. increase in August

Canadian exports to the United States increased 8.1% in August, while imports from the U.S. declined 2.5%. As a result, Canada’s merchandise trade surplus with the U.S. increased from $6.1 billion in July to $11.2 billion.

The increase came amid new U.S. tariffs on Canadian products. The U.S. had ⁠delayed the 50% Section 338 tariffs until August 22, following a three-day suspension.

Statistics Canada noted that tariff announcements may influence trade patterns by prompting importers to increase shipments before new duties take effect. It also reported that several products targeted by the new U.S. tariffs contributed to August export growth.

Energy exports increased 4.7%, while exports of industrial machinery, equipment, and parts rose 10.1%. Consumer goods exports increased 6.6%, and electronic and electrical equipment and parts rose 11.0%.

At the same time, Canadian exports to countries other than the United States fell 8.5% after reaching a record high in July.

September data will show the first full month under the new tariffs

August captures only part of the period after the latest U.S. tariff measures took effect.

September data will therefore provide the first full month of trade activity under those measures.

It will also begin to reflect Canada’s ⁠counter-tariffs on $27.6 billion in U.S. imports, which took effect September 8 at rates of 15%, 25%, and 50%.

The U.S. also ⁠revised the scope of its 50% Section 338 tariffs effective September 15. Further measures took effect September 29, including import bans on certain Canadian alcoholic beverages, dairy products, and motorcycles.

The September measures, effective September 15, also allow Section 338 tariffs to apply on top of certain Section 232 duties, reversing the earlier exclusion. This can push combined additional duties to 75% or more on some Canadian steel and aluminum products.

Statistics Canada is scheduled to release September merchandise trade data on November 4.

Review your tariff exposure before your next shipment

Cole International provides trade consulting and customs brokerage services to help Canadian businesses assess their tariff exposure and confirm their shipments' classification and origin.

Reach out to one of our trade professionals to discuss how the latest measures may affect your shipments and determine how to manage your customs obligations.

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